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Warning to Argentina of ‘heavy casualties’ if it launches new Falklands invasion

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An expert in defence matters has cautioned Argentina about potential repercussions if it seeks to regain control over the Falkland Islands, emphasising the United Kingdom’s robust military capabilities.

Nicholas Drummond, a respected defence analyst, expressed his concerns following a tweet by James Cleverly asserting British sovereignty over the Falklands. The tweet ignited a social media debate, prompting Drummond to share his insights on the possible outcomes of an Argentine attempt to reclaim the South Atlantic archipelago.

Drawing parallels to the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine, he stressed the UK’s military strength. He cautioned that any invasion could result in significant casualties and weaken Argentina’s air force substantially.

READ MORE: Britain warned EU about calling Falklands ‘Islas Malvinas’ before row erupted

In his analysis, Drummond pointed out a number of concerns.

He said the UK had two aircraft carriers and fighter jets stationed on the Falklands, the navy’s advanced air defence destroyers and frigates and the elite force of the 3 Commando Brigade and 16 Air Assault Brigade.

Other factors include additional support from light infantry brigades and specialised vehicles, the UK’s advantage in air power, including Apache gunships and helicopters and the enhanced effectiveness of Special Forces units.

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Responding to Cleverly’s message that “the UK will always defend the right of the islanders to decide their own future”, Drummond said Argentina “would suffer heavy casualties and if you subsequently wanted to review your Chinese-equipped air force, you would need to buy a fleet of glass-bottom boats”.

The comments came as the EU acknowledged the Falklands Islands as the Malvinas and referred to them as a “disputed territory” rather than a “European overseas territory” in an agreement with the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States (CELAC), last month.

However, just hours later, after pressure from the UK to prevent any reference to the sovereignty dispute over the South Atlantic archipelago, the EU was forced to back down on its joint declaration with the Celac countries issued at the end of a summit in Brussels.

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