Low pressure will send a shiver through northern parts of the UK this winter as a cold front will be driven eastwards over from the north Atlantic. WXCHARTS’ snow depth models have forecast a layer of snow to settle in central Scotland on November 8, with temperatures reaching 0C. Later in the month, high pressure from Scandinavia and central Europe should then sweep west and further blast the UK.
The BBC’s long-range forecast between Monday, November 2 and Sunday, November 15 forecast unsettled weather that could bring wintry conditions including snow on higher ground.
The forecast said: “Wet and windy for a while longer. Drier mid-month.
“The weather is looking unsettled into early November, particularly across the northern half of the UK.
“Low pressure areas will be driven eastwards over the north Atlantic and into the UK, depositing rainfall and ushering in blustery winds once again. Some of the showers over high ground in the north and west will fall as sleet, hail and occasionally snow.
“But widespread lowland snow seems unlikely at this stage. Brief spells of drier, brighter and occasionally milder weather will occur between the frontal zones.
“Overall, temperatures are expected to be near or slightly below the long-term average.
The forecast added the air from Scandinavia may linger throughout November.
It said: “The most likely outcome for mid-November is that a ridge of high pressure over Scandinavia and central Europe should shift westwards to sit over England and Wales, allowing for a drier pattern of weather here.
“Despite the shortening hours of daylight, the forecast indicates a greater number of dry and bright autumn days with chilly evenings and nights in the south and some frost too.
“For Scotland, Atlantic frontal systems will be more influential, with stronger westerly winds coming in around the northern side of the high pressure ridge.
“Confidence in the detail is low at the moment for mid-November and there is a risk that wet and windy weather becomes more widespread, with less chance of overnight frosts.”
The Met Office’s long-range forecast also predicted wintry weather between Tuesday, October 27 and Tuesday, November 10.
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The forecast said: “Confidence becomes low towards the end of the month.
However, the early part of the forecast period will likely see a gradual transition to a generally more unsettled pattern across the whole of the UK.
“Spells of rain and showers are likely, with these turning wintry over high ground in the north and northwest.
“There may also be the odd settled spell at times during this period, but they are likely to be short-lived.
Snow may also fall later in November too, according to Netweather’s long-range forecast between November, between Monday 9 and Tuesday 17.
The forecast said: “This period will probably have frequent north-westerly winds and temperatures fluctuating around the long-term normal but overall on the cool side, and high pressure periodically ridging into the west and south.
“There is a chance of some places, mainly on high ground and in the north, seeing their first sleet/snow of the season, but the confidence in this is currently low.
“The prevailing airflow may turn more westerly towards mid-November with the weather turning more unsettled generally.
“Temperatures are forecast to be a little below normal overall during this period, but not unusually so, with negative anomalies of around 1C in most parts of the country.
“Rainfall totals will probably be below normal in south-east Scotland and north-east England, but near normal in most other regions.”
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