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Applications for unemployment aid fall to a still-high 1.48 million

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More than 20,000 Coloradans filed unemployment claims last week as the steady pace of deep job cuts and income losses for workers continues in the Centennial State amid the COVID-19 pandemic even as the state’s economy reopens.

Last week’s claims — 9,757 for traditional unemployment benefits and 10,385 for federal pandemic unemployment assistance, according to the U.S. Department of Labor — are down significantly from the week prior, which saw more than 28,000 Coloradans file for support.

Still, with just about every type of business in the state, including bars, now cleared to reopen in at least a limited capacity the job losses have not slowed down to pre-pandemic levels. The more than 20,000 initial claims filed last week are on pace with the 19,7444 claims filed the week of March 8-14 in the earliest stages of the pandemic.

In total, more than 588,000 Coloradans have now filed for state or federal unemployment support since mid March. The state has paid out more than $2.5 billion to keep unemployed workers afloat.

Nationally, the number of laid-off workers who applied for unemployment benefits declined slightly to 1.48 million last week. It’s the 12th straight drop. While layoffs are slowing, they remain at a painfully high level.

The steady decline in claims nationally suggests that the job market has begun to slowly heal from the pandemic, which shuttered businesses and sent the unemployment rate up to 14.7% in April, its highest level since the Great Depression.

Yet the latest figure also coincides with a sudden resurgence of COVID-19 cases in the United States, especially in the South and West, that’s threatening to derail a nascent economic rebound.

The number of people who are receiving jobless aid also fell last week, evidence that employers are rehiring some of the workers who had been laid off since mid-March.

But on Wednesday, the nation set a record high of new coronavirus cases. Many states are establishing their own records for daily infections, including Arizona, California, Mississippi, Nevada, Texas and Oklahoma. Cases of coronavirus have also jumped in Florida and Georgia.

Should those trends continue, states may reimpose some limits on businesses that would likely trigger job cuts. Whether by choice or by government order, fewer consumers would shop, travel, eat out and visit bars or gyms. All those scenarios would result in renewed layoffs and hinder the economy.

Nervous investors sent stock prices plummeting Wednesday over escalating fears that the economy will suffer further damage from the disease.

“The health crisis continues to cast a dark shadow over the economic landscape,” said Bob Schwartz, a senior economist at Oxford Economics, a forecasting firm.

Before this week’s heightened worries about the pandemic, many economists had been relatively optimistic. In May, the unemployment rate unexpectedly declined, though to a still-high 13.3%. Consumers began spending again, sending retail sales jumping by a record amount. And sales of new homes rose as record-low mortgage rates fueled buyer interest.

In May, employers added 2.5 million jobs, a surprise gain. Still, that hiring represented just one-ninth of all the jobs that have been lost since the pandemic struck. And about 30 million Americans remain unemployed.

The U.S. government will provide its latest report Thursday on the layoffs that have left millions unemployed and have remained high even as many businesses have reopened and rehired some laid-off workers.

The weekly toll of job cuts has steadily declined since the coronavirus first struck hard in March, forcing business closures and tipping the economy into recession. But last week’s report on applications for jobless aid showed that the pace of decline had stalled at a high level, evidence that many companies are still shedding workers.

Now, a sudden resurgence of COVID-19 cases is threatening to derail what had looked like the start of an economic recovery.

In May, employers added 2.5 million jobs, and the unemployment rate fell from 14.7% to a still-high 13.3%. But the economy and the job market may struggle to sustain their recent gains amid the surge in new viral infections, which could cause a new round of business shutdowns.

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